Wednesday, February 23, 2022

Population forecasts in uncertain times

In the last couple of years I've lost count of the number of times that I've been told that population forecasts are useless because of the impacts brought about by COVID-19. Certainly I've written many blogs that describe the demographic impact of the pandemic, but does this render population forecasts useless? We do live in uncertain times, but I argue that they remain as relevant as ever. Read on to find out why.

Monday, January 17, 2022

Population trends in South Australia

Australia's population continues to be influenced by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and the policy changes implemented to control the spread. Historically, South Australia has grown at a modest rate, and its population has an older age profile. But more recently, the state has recorded small gains from interstate migration. Will this make a difference to the ageing trend? 

Monday, December 20, 2021

How many babies? Australian fertility trends in 2020

Each year the ABS releases data on the number of birth and death registrations across Australia. The data is important as it provides indicators of population change at the local level. Fertility trends differ widely across metropolitan and rural areas. What were the key trends in 2020?

Monday, November 15, 2021

How do demographic trends in Australia compare with other countries?

We are very lucky in Australia that we have access to a wide range of quality data that informs the characteristics of our population. But how do we compare internationally? In this blog I compare Australia's demographic characteristics with all other countries in the world. This is spatial analysis on a global scale!